ШЕЛЕК ӨЗЕНІНІҢ ГИДРОГРАФИЯЛЫҚ ЖӘНЕ ГИДРОЛОГИЯЛЫҚ СИПАТТАМАЛАРЫН ТАЛДАУ

Аман Жандияр; Мейрам Арыстанов; Айнура Алдиярова; Айнур Калмашова

doi:10.37884/3-2025/57

Abstract

This study presents the hydrographic and hydrological characteristics of the Shelek River, one of the largest watercourses in the southeastern part of the Zailiysky Alatau. Based on long-term observations, an analysis of the river's water capacity was conducted, including the reconstruction of missing data using correlation methods and subsequent verification of their representativeness. It was determined that the mean multi-year water discharge is 41.8 m³/s, with an observational error ranging from 2% to 8%. Signs of non-stationarity in runoff were identified, expressed in significant interannual fluctuations, including extremely low discharge values in certain years. Despite these deviations, the use of the stationarity concept remains justified for water management planning. The results of the study can be used for further modeling of water resources, assessment of irrigation potential, and the development of adaptive strategies under climate change conditions.

hydrology mean multi-year runoff water capacity correlation methods stationarity water resources climate change

01 Introduction

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02 References

1. Жандияр , А., Алдиярова, А., Муханбет , Е., Амантай, Б., & Муратова , А. (2023). Анализ современного состояния бассейна реки Шелек. Izdenister Natigeler, (1 (97), 155–164. https://doi.org/10.37884/1-2023/18
2. Асанов, Ш.Ш., Сейсенов, Д.К. (2020). Гидрологические характеристики рек Заилийского Алатау в условиях изменения климата. Вестник Казахского национального университета им. аль-Фараби. Серия География, №2(69), с. 34–43.
3. Искакова, Ш.М., Баймурзина, Г.А. (2018). Анализ состояния оросительных систем юго-востока Казахстана. Известия НАН РК. Серия сельскохозяйственных наук, №6, с. 56–63.
4. Tursunov, M., & Karimov, A. (2021). Water productivity and irrigation efficiency in Central Asia: A case study of Kazakhstan. Agricultural Water Management, 243, 106473. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2020.106473
5. Molden, D., Oweis, T., Steduto, P., et al. (2010). Improving agricultural water productivity: Between optimism and caution. Agricultural Water Management, 97(4), 528–535. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2009.03.023
6. Абдрахманова, Ш.К., Нургалиева, Г.Т. (2022). Малые реки Заилийского Алатау и их роль в водоснабжении Алматинской области. Вестник Института географии и водной безопасности, №3(21), с. 12–20.
7. Yilmaz, M., & Eris, E. (2020). Evaluation of the performance of irrigation systems in arid regions using performance indicators. Irrigation and Drainage, 69(4), 724–736. https://doi.org/10.1002/ird.2449
8. Жанибеков, Ж.К., Алиев, Б.С. (2019). Влияние климатических изменений на водный сток рек юго-восточного Казахстана. Труды КазНИИВХ, №1(85), с. 45–53.
9. Kozhakhmetov, S., & Satayeva, S. (2023). Assessment of hydrological nonstationarity in mountain river basins of Kazakhstan. Environmental Earth Sciences, 82(9), 245. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-023-11111-z
10. Siegfried, T., Bernauer, T., Guiennet, R., et al. (2012). Will climate change exacerbate water stress in Central Asia? Climatic Change, 112, 881–899. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0253-z

Citation Links

[1]2025. HYDROGRAPHIC AND HYDROLOGICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF THE SHELEK RIVER. Izdenister natigeler. 3 (107) (Sep. 2025), 582–589. DOI:https://doi.org/10.37884/3-2025/57.

(1)HYDROGRAPHIC AND HYDROLOGICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF THE SHELEK RIVER. Izdenister natigeler 2025, No. 3 (107), 582-589. https://doi.org/10.37884/3-2025/57.

HYDROGRAPHIC AND HYDROLOGICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF THE SHELEK RIVER. (2025). Izdenister Natigeler, 3 (107), 582-589. https://doi.org/10.37884/3-2025/57

HYDROGRAPHIC AND HYDROLOGICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF THE SHELEK RIVER. Izdenister natigeler, [S. l.], n. 3 (107), p. 582–589, 2025. DOI: 10.37884/3-2025/57. Disponível em: https://kazvetjournal.kaznaru.edu.kz/index.php/research/article/view/1084. Acesso em: 15 sep. 2026.

“HYDROGRAPHIC AND HYDROLOGICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF THE SHELEK RIVER”. 2025. Izdenister Natigeler, no. 3 (107) (September): 582-89. https://doi.org/10.37884/3-2025/57.

“HYDROGRAPHIC AND HYDROLOGICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF THE SHELEK RIVER” (2025) Izdenister natigeler, (3 (107), pp. 582–589. doi:10.37884/3-2025/57.

[1]“HYDROGRAPHIC AND HYDROLOGICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF THE SHELEK RIVER”, Izdenister natigeler, no. 3 (107), pp. 582–589, Sep. 2025, doi: 10.37884/3-2025/57.

“HYDROGRAPHIC AND HYDROLOGICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF THE SHELEK RIVER”. Izdenister Natigeler, no. 3 (107), Sept. 2025, pp. 582-9, https://doi.org/10.37884/3-2025/57.

“HYDROGRAPHIC AND HYDROLOGICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF THE SHELEK RIVER”. Izdenister natigeler, no. 3 (107) (September 30, 2025): 582–589. Accessed September 15, 2026. https://kazvetjournal.kaznaru.edu.kz/index.php/research/article/view/1084.

1.HYDROGRAPHIC AND HYDROLOGICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF THE SHELEK RIVER. Izdenister natigeler [Internet]. 2025 Sep. 30 [cited 2026 Sep. 15];(3 (107):582-9. Available from: https://kazvetjournal.kaznaru.edu.kz/index.php/research/article/view/1084

1.HYDROGRAPHIC AND HYDROLOGICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF THE SHELEK RIVER. Izdenister natigeler. 2025;(3 (107):582-589. doi:10.37884/3-2025/57

[1] 1. Жандияр , А., Алдиярова, А., Муханбет , Е., Амантай, Б., & Муратова , А. (2023). Анализ современного состояния бассейна реки Шелек. Izdenister Natigeler, (1 (97), 155–164. https://doi.org/10.37884/1-2023/18

[2] 2. Асанов, Ш.Ш., Сейсенов, Д.К. (2020). Гидрологические характеристики рек Заилийского Алатау в условиях изменения климата. Вестник Казахского национального университета им. аль-Фараби. Серия География, №2(69), с. 34–43.

[3] 3. Искакова, Ш.М., Баймурзина, Г.А. (2018). Анализ состояния оросительных систем юго-востока Казахстана. Известия НАН РК. Серия сельскохозяйственных наук, №6, с. 56–63.

[4] 4. Tursunov, M., & Karimov, A. (2021). Water productivity and irrigation efficiency in Central Asia: A case study of Kazakhstan. Agricultural Water Management, 243, 106473. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2020.106473

[5] 5. Molden, D., Oweis, T., Steduto, P., et al. (2010). Improving agricultural water productivity: Between optimism and caution. Agricultural Water Management, 97(4), 528–535. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2009.03.023

[6] 6. Абдрахманова, Ш.К., Нургалиева, Г.Т. (2022). Малые реки Заилийского Алатау и их роль в водоснабжении Алматинской области. Вестник Института географии и водной безопасности, №3(21), с. 12–20.

[7] 7. Yilmaz, M., & Eris, E. (2020). Evaluation of the performance of irrigation systems in arid regions using performance indicators. Irrigation and Drainage, 69(4), 724–736. https://doi.org/10.1002/ird.2449

[8] 8. Жанибеков, Ж.К., Алиев, Б.С. (2019). Влияние климатических изменений на водный сток рек юго-восточного Казахстана. Труды КазНИИВХ, №1(85), с. 45–53.

[9] 9. Kozhakhmetov, S., & Satayeva, S. (2023). Assessment of hydrological nonstationarity in mountain river basins of Kazakhstan. Environmental Earth Sciences, 82(9), 245. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-023-11111-z

[10] 10. Siegfried, T., Bernauer, T., Guiennet, R., et al. (2012). Will climate change exacerbate water stress in Central Asia? Climatic Change, 112, 881–899. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0253-z